Core Definition of Relative Strength
Relative Strength (RS) is a ratio comparing a stock's performance against the market (e.g., SPY or Hang Seng Index).
Formula:
RS = Stock past N-day return / Market past N-day return
Example:
- Past 12 months: Stock up 30%, Market up 10%
- RS = 30 / 10 = 3.0 (stock performed 3x better than the market)
RS Rating Interpretation
William O'Neil converts RS values into a 1-99 rating:
| RS Rating | Meaning | Action |
|---|---|---|
| 90-99 | Extremely Strong | Focus, look for entry timing |
| 80-89 | Strong | Suitable for entry |
| 70-79 | Above Average | Can observe |
| 50-69 | Neutral | Wait for strengthening |
| < 50 | Weak | Avoid buying |
Key Principle: Only buy stocks with RS Rating > 70. According to O'Neil's research, over 95% of strong stocks had RS Rating above 70 before their pattern breakouts. Visit our Strategy Center to learn how to apply RS in practical strategies.
Three Advanced RS Techniques
Technique 1: RS Trend Matters More Than Absolute Value
- RS rising: stock relative strength is increasing (even if absolute value is not high)
- RS falling: stock relative strength is weakening (even if absolute value is still high)
- Buy stocks with rising RS, sell stocks with falling RS
Technique 2: RS + Pattern Dual Confirmation
This is the core technique for improving win rate:
| Combination | Success Rate |
|---|---|
| RS > 80 + Cup and Handle | High |
| RS > 80 + VCP Pattern | High |
| RS > 80 + Double Bottom | Medium-High |
| RS < 70 + Any Pattern | Do not enter |
Technique 3: RS Divergence
-
Bearish Divergence: Price makes a new high, but RS does not
- Indicates relative momentum is weakening
- Other stocks are starting to outperform this one
- Consider reducing or exiting
-
Bullish Divergence: Price makes a new low, but RS does not
- Indicates relative momentum is improving
- May be forming a bottom
- Add to watchlist
Practical Stock Selection Process
Step 1: RS Screening
Set in Stock Screener:
- RS Rating > 70 (minimum standard)
- RS Rating > 80 (recommended standard)
Step 2: RS Trend Confirmation
- Has RS been rising over the past 3-6 months?
- Is RS in the top 20% of its industry?
Step 3: Pattern Confirmation
- Do the high-RS stocks have actionable technical patterns?
- Is volume supporting the pattern?
Step 4: Entry and Risk Control
- Entry: after breakout confirmation
- Stop-loss: 5-8% below the pattern's key low
- Tracking: continuously monitor RS changes, consider exiting when RS weakens
RS Application for Hong Kong Stocks
Characteristics of the HK Market
- Hang Seng Index has limited constituents (82 stocks), narrower RS reference range
- Recommend comparing with industry leaders, not just the market index
- Stocks favored by northbound capital typically have higher RS
HK RS Calculation Recommendations
| Comparison Benchmark | Use |
|---|---|
| Hang Seng Index | Overall market comparison |
| Industry Index | Peer comparison |
| Tencent (strongest tech stock) | Industry leader comparison |
Common Mistakes
Mistake 1: Looking Only at RS, Ignoring Patterns
High RS means strong past performance, not guaranteed future appreciation. Must combine with technical patterns for entry timing.
Mistake 2: Buying Stocks with Falling RS
Thinking "it has fallen enough, it should bounce." Falling RS means money is flowing out; do not fight the trend.
Mistake 3: Selling Stocks with Rising RS
Thinking "it has risen too much, it should pull back." Strong stocks can remain strong for months or even years.
Mistake 4: Ignoring Industry RS
Sometimes it is not the stock that is strong, but the entire industry. Check if the stock's RS is above the industry average.
Summary
Core principles of RS:
- Only buy stocks with RS > 70
- RS trend matters more than absolute value
- RS + Pattern = High win rate combination
- RS weakening = consider exiting
Remember William O'Neil's famous quote: "The market is always right. Buy stocks that the market tells you are strengthening, sell stocks that the market tells you are weakening." Want to know which stocks are strengthening? Check Market Pulse for real-time market tracking.
For best results, combine with Cup and Handle Pattern and VCP Contraction Pattern.